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On 24 June 2016, the world woke to the shock result of the United Kingdom’s Brexit referendum. Turnout was historically high, at 71.8%, and more than 30 million people voted. At 52% – 48% in favour of leaving the European Union, the Brexit majority is far too slim to create any long-lasting stability. A range of forecasts in the run-up to the referendum attempted to predict the fallout of a …

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